Thursday, January 1, 2009

Flu good to be true

I, Science 8 June 2006
Link

APRIL: A flu pandemic in the UK would peak in two or three months but be over in four, according to researchers at Imperial. The team modelled how the disease would spread, considering preventive measures such as treatment, school closures and travel restrictions.

"The modelling shows there is no single magic bullet which can control a flu pandemic, but that a combination of interventions could be highly effective� potentially saving many lives," said Professor Neil Ferguson.

School closures alone would have little impact, but could halve the number illnesses if combined with a wide antiviral drug program. Restricting travel would also have a beneficial effect.

The model, published in Nature, suggests that vaccines should be made available within two months of the start of the pandemic effectively reduce infection rates.

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